Monaco's real estate sector has witnessed a dip in transaction volumes since 2023, attributed to rising interest rates and global geopolitical tensions. Despite these challenges, the local market's buoyancy is supported by a historical resilience to external economic fluctuations, according to Claude Cohen, Managing Director of Monaco Legend Properties. The market's downturn is also under scrutiny due to Monaco's recent inclusion on the Financial Action Task Force's grey list, though the long-term effects of this designation remain uncertain.
The cooling of the real estate market follows a period of robust activity, fueled previously by low interest rates and a surge in demand post-COVID. However, transaction numbers have declined through 2023 and into the first half of 2024. The Principality's real estate market, characterized by its high demand and limited supply, has been further influenced by Monaco's halted pursuit of an association agreement with the European Union, which had initially stirred some market uncertainty.
Despite these hurdles, the outlook within Monaco's property circles remains optimistic. Recent interest rate reductions and a growing number of residency applications suggest a rebound may be imminent. Cohen emphasizes that Monaco's distinct economic stability, safety, and environmental benefits continue to make it an attractive location for investors. "The interest rate cuts that began early this summer should bolster the property sector significantly into next year," Cohen noted, underscoring a positive forecast for Monaco's real estate market despite current challenges.
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